Replay
What if $TICKER existed then?
Real past crashes. Today's rules. Pick a window and a daily volume.
2022 BOND CRASH
Full year 2022: Fastest rate hike cycle in 40 years crushes bonds
The treasury would hold
3.5110 BTC
Worth $58,260 at the end of 2022
Worth $299,724 today
A replay of real past data under today's rules. $TICKER didn't exist then. Not a forecast.
$250ka day
Burn days
90
53 × 30%35 × 15%2 × 5%
Each burn is that share of the burn fund that day.
Of supply burned
14.1%
Assumes the pool grows with trading volume (pool value about 10x daily volume).
Moments
- Biggest burn day: 2 Mar 2022, TLT -3.42%
- Longest burn streak: 5 days (Apr)
- Bonds' worst week = most burns: week of 7 Mar 2022
- First BTC buy: 21 Jan
Treasury over time
BTC reserve
Latest days
Date
TLT
30Y
Burn
Rule
Dec 2
+1.26%
3.56%
—
BTC BUY
Dec 5
-1.40%
3.62%
30%
BIG
Dec 6
+1.29%
3.52%
—
BTC BUY
Dec 7
+2.36%
3.42%
—
BTC BUY
Dec 8
-0.27%
3.44%
—
—
Dec 9
-2.60%
3.56%
30%
BIG
Dec 12
+0.32%
3.57%
—
—
Dec 13
+0.97%
3.53%
—
—
Dec 14
+0.43%
3.52%
—
—
Dec 15
+0.15%
3.48%
—
—
Dec 16
-1.12%
3.53%
15%
BASE
Dec 19
-1.68%
3.62%
30%
BIG
Dec 20
-1.78%
3.74%
30%
BIG
Dec 21
+0.25%
3.74%
—
—
Dec 22
-0.02%
3.73%
—
—
Dec 23
-1.47%
3.82%
30%
BIG
Dec 27
-1.98%
3.93%
30%
BIG
Dec 28
-0.59%
3.98%
—
—
Dec 29
+1.14%
3.92%
—
BTC BUY
Dec 30
-1.11%
3.97%
15%
BASE
Showing last 20 of 249 trading days
Data
Historical 30-year Treasury yields, TLT daily closes, and BTC daily closes.